Pourtant l'année prochaine, un météorite passé l'année dernière, pas très loin de la terre, repassera plus proche encore, à 24000km, le 15 février 2013, en espérant qu'il n'y a pas d'erreur de calcul, pour ce passage à moins de 2 fois le diamètre terrestre !!.
Un météorite de 50m capable de supprimer une ville comme Paris, Londres, New York, Tokyo, etc.. soit si pas de chance 30 millions d'habitants en une seconde arrivant à 40Km/s, ou faisant un énorme tsunami encore plus destructeur, très sous estimé ( une chance quasi certaine pour 300 à 500 ans quelque part sur terre, comme la comète de Toungouska en Sibérie de 1908 type de météorite qui tombe sur terre statistiquement, une fois par quelques siècles, mais irrémédiablement tôt ou tard, quelque part, souvent hors des lieux habités.
Vu son orbite identique à celle de la terre, ce météorite finira sur terre probablement, ou sur la lune.
Il y a un demi million de ces cochonneries de plus de 30m qui menacent la terre !!
Résidu de 4,5 milliards d'années de collisions sur terre !!
En 1908, dans un quasi désert, et pas dans un océan et tsunami :
http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89v%C3 ... Toungouska
Near-Miss Asteroid Will Return Next Year, Even Closer
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/20 ... 225625.htm
ScienceDaily (Mar. 15, 2012) — When it whizzes past Earth in 2013, a newly discovered asteroid is going to miss our planet -- but not by much. The 50-meter space rock is expected to come closer than many satellites, highlighting the growing need to keep watch on hazards from above.
An amateur team discovered the unusual asteroid, dubbed 2012 DA14, on 22 February. Its small size and orbit meant that it was spotted only after it had flown past Earth at about seven times the distance of the Moon.
However, current predictions indicate that on its next flyby, due on 15 February 2013,[b] it will pass Earth at just 24,000 km -- closer than many commercial satellites.
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"This is a safe distance, but it is still close enough to make the asteroid visible in normal binoculars," says Detlef Koschny, responsible for near-earth objects in ESA's Space Situational Awareness (SSA) office.
Astronomers in Spain spot 'slippery target'
The asteroid was discovered by the La Sagra Sky Survey observatory, in the southeast of Spain, near Granada, at an altitude of 1700 m, one of the darkest, least light-polluted locations on the European mainland.
"Considering its path in the morning sky, its rather fast angular motion, the quite faint and fading brightness and its orbit high above the plane of Earth's orbit, it was a slippery target -- and easily could have escaped undetected during this Earth visit," says Jaime Nomen, one of the discoverers.
The team use several automated telescopes to scan the sky, and the discovery came somewhat serendipitously after they decided to search areas of the sky where asteroids are not usually seen.
"A preliminary orbit calculation shows that 2012 DA14 has a very Earth-like orbit with a period of 366.24 days, just one more day than our terrestrial year, and it 'jumps' inside and outside of the path of Earth two times per year," says Jaime.
While an impact with Earth has been ruled out on the asteroid's next visit, astronomers will use that close approach for more studies and calculate the Earth and Moon's gravitational effects on it.
"We will also be keen to see the asteroid's resulting orbit after the next close approach in order to compute any future risk of impact," says Detlef.
Half a million undiscovered objects
The La Sagra Sky Survey is operated by the Observatorio Astronomico de Mallorca and has recently joined ESA's SSA programme. In the future it will provide observations to the asteroid data hub that ESA is developing.
Together with information on space weather and debris, its information will help European scientists and policy-makers understand and assess hazards, particularly if an Earth-threatening asteroid is ever found.
The discovery of 2012 DA14 is particularly significant for the Agency's SSA office, because it is typical of the estimated half a million undiscovered near-Earth objects up to 30 m across.
"We are developing a system of automated optical telescopes that can detect asteroids just like this one, with the goal of being able spot them at least three weeks before closest approach to Earth," says Detlef.
To achieve this, ESA specialists supported by European industry are planning a network of 1 m-diameter telescopes with a combined field of view large enough to image the complete sky in one night.
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